Atlantic
| Title | Description |
|---|---|
| Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook | 000 ABNT20 KNHC 152330 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center has issued the final advisory on the remnants of Lorenzo, located over the central tropical Atlantic. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Kelly |
| Summary for Remnants of Lorenzo (AT2/AL122025) | ...LORENZO DISSIPATES... ...THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY... As of 5:00 PM AST Wed Oct 15 the center of Lorenzo was located near 23.1, -42.5 with movement NE at 18 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph. |
| Remnants of Lorenzo Public Advisory Number 11 | Issued at 500 PM AST Wed Oct 15 2025 498 WTNT32 KNHC 152031 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Remnants Of Lorenzo Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122025 500 PM AST Wed Oct 15 2025 ...LORENZO DISSIPATES... ...THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.1N 42.5W ABOUT 1300 MI...2090 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the remnants of Lorenzo were located near latitude 23.1 North, longitude 42.5 West. The remnants are moving toward the northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue with a faster forward speed for the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Bucci |
| Remnants of Lorenzo Forecast Advisory Number 11 | Issued at 2100 UTC WED OCT 15 2025 752 WTNT22 KNHC 152031 TCMAT2 REMNANTS OF LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122025 2100 UTC WED OCT 15 2025 REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 42.5W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 4 M SEAS.... 45NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 42.5W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 43.3W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 42.5W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BUCCI |
| Remnants of Lorenzo Forecast Discussion Number 11 | Issued at 500 PM AST Wed Oct 15 2025 000 WTNT42 KNHC 152032 TCDAT2 Remnants Of Lorenzo Discussion Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122025 500 PM AST Wed Oct 15 2025 Visible satellite imagery shows that Lorenzo no longer has a well-defined circulation and has dissipated. Recent microwave imagery also suggested that the system had opened to its west. Satellite intensity estimates have decreased as well, indicating that Lorenzo has lost its organized convection. The initial intensity is lowered to 30 kt based on a blend of these estimates. The remnants of Lorenzo have turned northeastward and are moving an estimated 16 kt. This general motion with an accelerated forward speed is expected for the next day or so. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 15/2100Z 23.1N 42.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Bucci |
| Remnants of Lorenzo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11 | Issued at 2100 UTC WED OCT 15 2025 000
FONT12 KNHC 152032
PWSAT2
REMNANTS OF LORENZO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122025
2100 UTC WED OCT 15 2025
AT 2100Z THE REMNANTS OF LORENZO WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1
NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS
...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE IS NO OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR THIS DATE/TIME...
AND THEREFORE NO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES CAN BE CALCULATED...
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI |
| Remnants of Lorenzo Graphics |
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 15 Oct 2025 20:34:02 GMT 
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 15 Oct 2025 21:19:55 GMT |
Eastern Pacific
| Title | Description |
|---|---|
| Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook | 000 ABPZ20 KNHC 152304 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Oct 15 2025 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: South of Southern Mexico (EP91): A broad area of low pressure is producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms offshore of southern Mexico and portions of Central America. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression could form late this week or over the weekend. The system is forecast to move little during the next couple of days, but a slow west-northwestward or northwestward motion near the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico is expected by the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Gibbs |
| There are no tropical cyclones at this time. | No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 16 Oct 2025 01:50:15 GMT |
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